2013 ARS to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9697 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.7320 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8752 TJS

2013 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.9697. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.7320.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2377 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9631 to the December average rate of 0.7538, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.9697 was down 12.36% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.1064, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,848 TJS

2012 Average 5,215 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 3,660 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,188.63 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.9840

0.7329

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9290, compared to 0.8213 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9290

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8213

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0457 TJS (High: 0.7777 / Low: 0.7320). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0114 TJS (High: 0.9295 / Low: 0.9182).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0457

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0114

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0401 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0401

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.9631) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.1018), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1387 (-12.59%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.9631

2012 Avg (January) 1.1018

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9697	0.9568	0.9631
February	0.9577	0.9426	0.9501
March	0.9424	0.9266	0.9346
April	0.9295	0.9182	0.9243
May	0.9173	0.9005	0.9089
June	0.9003	0.8842	0.8932
July	0.8842	0.8666	0.8769
August	0.8659	0.8408	0.8547
September	0.8406	0.8241	0.8320
October	0.8232	0.8079	0.8161
November	0.8057	0.7776	0.7940
December	0.7777	0.7320	0.7538