2019 ARS to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2556 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.1566 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2035 TJS

2019 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.2556. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 0.1566.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0990 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2524 to the December average rate of 0.1620, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2556 was down 46.73% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.4799, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,278 TJS

2018 Average 1,735 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 783 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 495.04 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2615

0.1529

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2288, compared to 0.1781 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0507 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2288

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1781

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0563 TJS (High: 0.2129 / Low: 0.1566). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 TJS (High: 0.1624 / Low: 0.1616).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0563

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0377 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0377

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.2524) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.4643), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2118 (-45.63%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.2524

2018 Avg (January) 0.4643

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2556	0.2495	0.2524
February	0.2541	0.2381	0.2462
March	0.2370	0.2150	0.2287
April	0.2268	0.2061	0.2192
May	0.2124	0.2084	0.2104
June	0.2227	0.2100	0.2160
July	0.2271	0.2150	0.2225
August	0.2129	0.1566	0.1848
September	0.1753	0.1628	0.1712
October	0.1683	0.1617	0.1658
November	0.1631	0.1617	0.1624
December	0.1624	0.1616	0.1620