2014 ARS to TJS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7326 TJS

YEARLY LOW

0.5863 TJS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6091 TJS

2014 ARS to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.7326. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 0.5863.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1463 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6874 to the December average rate of 0.6026, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.7326 was down 24.45% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.9697, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,663 TJS

2013 Average 4,374 TJS

Yearly Trough Low 2,932 TJS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 731.27 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.6972

0.5796

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6208, compared to 0.5974 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0233 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6208

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5974

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.1352 TJS (High: 0.7326 / Low: 0.5974). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 TJS (High: 0.6077 / Low: 0.6047).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1352

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0764 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0764

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.6874) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.9631), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2757 (-28.63%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.6874

2013 Avg (January) 0.9631

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7326	0.5974	0.6874
February	0.6180	0.5986	0.6110
March	0.6116	0.5998	0.6063
April	0.6120	0.6018	0.6041
May	0.6168	0.6072	0.6104
June	0.6077	0.6022	0.6054
July	0.6077	0.6047	0.6066
August	0.6032	0.5917	0.5988
September	0.5947	0.5890	0.5923
October	0.5920	0.5863	0.5894
November	0.5986	0.5873	0.5948
December	0.6148	0.5948	0.6026