2011 AZN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3668.7503 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2871.0281 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3198.5243 UGX

2011 AZN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AZN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 3668.7503. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 2871.0281.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 797.7222 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2922.6679 to the December average rate of 3118.4329, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 3668.7503 was up 25.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 2923.6619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,343,752 UGX

2010 Average 13,527,016 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 14,355,141 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,988,610.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

3647.9980

2856.7288

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3006.2292, compared to 3390.8195 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 384.5903 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3006.2292

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3390.8195

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 384.4613 UGX (High: 3668.7503 / Low: 3284.2891). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 34.4699 UGX (High: 3042.2699 / Low: 3007.8001).

October Spread (Volatile) ±384.4613

May Spread (Stable) ±34.4699

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 280.4706 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -280.4706

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 3562.7646) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2827.6807), the exchange rate shifted by +735.0839 (+26.00%).

2011 Avg (October) 3562.7646

2010 Avg (October) 2827.6807

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3002.0893	2871.0281	2922.6679
February	3001.2826	2899.1200	2953.7978
March	3061.9431	2985.2659	3024.2196
April	3013.1016	2943.9375	2997.2657
May	3042.2699	3007.8001	3025.1057
June	3403.3857	3027.1442	3114.3183
July	3326.3101	3230.5840	3293.3606
August	3597.4943	3324.5896	3506.0059
September	3658.9966	3536.2408	3582.0589
October	3668.7503	3284.2891	3562.7646
November	3350.4926	3185.5008	3282.2940
December	3244.3700	3004.3074	3118.4329