2016 AZN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2274.2003 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1986.7468 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2133.4241 UGX

2016 AZN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AZN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 26, valuing the pair at 2274.2003. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1986.7468.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 287.4535 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2175.0867 to the December average rate of 2032.1869, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2274.2003 was down 38.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 3701.0189, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,371,002 UGX

2015 Average 15,989,869 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,933,734 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,437,267.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2248.4625

2012.5255

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2178.6257, compared to 2088.2225 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 90.4032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2178.6257

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2088.2225

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 168.2733 UGX (High: 2179.4103 / Low: 2011.1370). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 24.7425 UGX (High: 2098.1379 / Low: 2073.3954).

March Spread (Volatile) ±168.2733

November Spread (Stable) ±24.7425

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 85.4291 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -85.4291

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 2228.8011) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2865.0100), the exchange rate shifted by -636.2089 (-22.21%).

2016 Avg (May) 2228.8011

2015 Avg (May) 2865.0100

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2218.9387	2138.4552	2175.0867
February	2196.6956	2132.5827	2168.0276
March	2179.4103	2011.1370	2082.5985
April	2221.9935	2188.0652	2203.5021
May	2274.2003	2201.2057	2228.8011
June	2259.6202	2186.5433	2213.7382
July	2194.6914	2110.0601	2157.3032
August	2117.9174	2039.2094	2076.0272
September	2082.5213	2036.1729	2056.7747
October	2165.7438	2073.9149	2120.2210
November	2098.1379	2073.3954	2086.8217
December	2079.0786	1986.7468	2032.1869