2014 AZN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3547.6403 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3127.0552 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3312.4757 UGX

2014 AZN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AZN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 3547.6403. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 3127.0552.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 420.5851 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3189.0431 to the December average rate of 3527.4450, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.61% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 3547.6403 was up 2.44% compared to the 2013 peak of 3463.2950, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,738,202 UGX

2013 Average 16,484,807 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 15,635,276 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,102,925.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

3565.3836

3110.1195

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AZN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3216.7861, compared to 3408.1653 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 191.3791 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3216.7861

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3408.1653

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 109.6507 UGX (High: 3541.9108 / Low: 3432.2601). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 35.8038 UGX (High: 3547.6403 / Low: 3511.8365).

November Spread (Volatile) ±109.6507

December Spread (Stable) ±35.8038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 40.9850 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -40.9850

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 3527.4450) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3204.0993), the exchange rate shifted by +323.3457 (+10.09%).

2014 Avg (December) 3527.4450

2013 Avg (December) 3204.0993

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3227.3520	3153.9084	3189.0431
February	3222.7901	3127.0552	3148.0581
March	3272.8137	3201.1902	3230.2545
April	3269.1915	3201.3489	3222.2884
May	3250.2572	3211.6543	3225.8716
June	3326.8782	3246.3338	3285.2010
July	3399.7705	3304.6902	3355.4657
August	3344.7600	3306.8761	3328.9113
September	3382.7934	3318.6078	3340.0501
October	3461.4693	3373.4035	3412.5321
November	3541.9108	3432.2601	3484.5875
December	3547.6403	3511.8365	3527.4450