2016 BAM to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9695 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.8446 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9069 AZN

2016 BAM to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BAM to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.9695. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.8446.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1248 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8802 to the December average rate of 0.9543, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9695 was up 10.88% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.8744, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,847 AZN

2015 Average 2,895 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 4,223 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 624.20 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9631

0.8582

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8862, compared to 0.9277 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0414 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8862

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9277

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0799 AZN (High: 0.9468 / Low: 0.8669). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0194 AZN (High: 0.9530 / Low: 0.9336).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0799

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0194

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0399 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.9543) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6576), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2967 (+45.12%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.9543

2015 Avg (December) 0.6576

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9069	0.8616	0.8802
February	0.9177	0.8717	0.8979
March	0.9468	0.8669	0.9192
April	0.8914	0.8619	0.8793
May	0.8865	0.8446	0.8669
June	0.8958	0.8502	0.8739
July	0.9116	0.8754	0.8863
August	0.9495	0.9109	0.9302
September	0.9530	0.9336	0.9416
October	0.9356	0.8983	0.9127
November	0.9537	0.9315	0.9408
December	0.9695	0.9436	0.9543