YEARLY HIGH
1.0841 AZN
YEARLY LOW
0.9796 AZN
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0277 AZN

2018 BAM to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BAM to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 1.0841. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 0.9796.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1045 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0548 to the December average rate of 0.9908, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.0841 was up 0.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.0740, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,421 AZN
2017 Average 4,965 AZN
Yearly Trough Low 4,898 AZN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 522.57 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.0775
0.9829
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0511, compared to 1.0044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0467 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0511
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0483 AZN (High: 1.0797 / Low: 1.0315). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0153 AZN (High: 0.9979 / Low: 0.9826).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0483
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0153

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0396 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0396

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.0669) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.9946), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0723 (+7.27%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.0669
2017 Avg (February) 0.9946

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0797 1.0315 1.0548
February 1.0841 1.0538 1.0669
March 1.0811 1.0517 1.0689
April 1.0775 1.0524 1.0696
May 1.0501 1.0052 1.0300
June 1.0296 1.0042 1.0162
July 1.0435 1.0087 1.0197
August 1.0228 0.9851 1.0055
September 1.0388 1.0059 1.0177
October 1.0227 0.9854 1.0003
November 1.0219 0.9796 0.9923
December 0.9979 0.9826 0.9908