YEARLY HIGH
4.7024 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.2444 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5245 MOP

2016 BAM to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BAM to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 4.7024. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 4.2444.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4580 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4537 to the December average rate of 4.3051, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.7024 was down 4.95% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.9473, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,512 MOP
2015 Average 22,659 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 21,222 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,289.93 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.6639
4.2725
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5668, compared to 4.4822 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0845 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5668
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4822

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2278 MOP (High: 4.5445 / Low: 4.3167). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0416 MOP (High: 4.5968 / Low: 4.5552).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2278
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0416

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1037 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 4.6200) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.5614), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0586 (+1.29%).

2016 Avg (May) 4.6200
2015 Avg (May) 4.5614

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4845 4.4086 4.4537
February 4.6384 4.4542 4.5513
March 4.6434 4.4505 4.5487
April 4.6725 4.5844 4.6313
May 4.7024 4.5449 4.6200
June 4.6561 4.5076 4.5957
July 4.5587 4.4892 4.5210
August 4.6221 4.5290 4.5750
September 4.5968 4.5552 4.5773
October 4.5844 4.4429 4.5062
November 4.5445 4.3167 4.4088
December 4.3854 4.2444 4.3051