YEARLY HIGH
5.1387 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.6401 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8804 MOP

2018 BAM to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BAM to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 5.1387. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 4.6401.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4986 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0184 to the December average rate of 4.6896, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.1387 was up 3.48% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.9656, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,693 MOP
2017 Average 23,182 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 23,201 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,492.82 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.1310
4.6495
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9992, compared to 4.7616 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9992
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7616

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.2263 MOP (High: 4.9994 / Low: 4.7731). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0860 MOP (High: 4.7294 / Low: 4.6434).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2263
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0860

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1882 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1882

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 5.0893) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.3522), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7371 (+16.94%).

2018 Avg (February) 5.0893
2017 Avg (February) 4.3522

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1280 4.9127 5.0184
February 5.1387 5.0328 5.0893
March 5.1278 5.0217 5.0909
April 5.1157 5.0007 5.0794
May 4.9994 4.7731 4.8912
June 4.8867 4.7675 4.8258
July 4.9537 4.7935 4.8409
August 4.8549 4.6793 4.7733
September 4.9338 4.7728 4.8261
October 4.8464 4.6864 4.7420
November 4.8403 4.6401 4.6976
December 4.7294 4.6434 4.6896