YEARLY HIGH
4.7619 MOP
YEARLY LOW
4.5010 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6201 MOP

2019 BAM to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BAM to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 4.7619. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 4.5010.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2609 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7176 to the December average rate of 4.5649, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.7619 was down 7.33% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.1387, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BAM based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,810 MOP
2018 Average 24,395 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 22,505 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,304.66 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.7347
4.5287
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BAM to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6668, compared to 4.5735 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0934 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6668
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5735

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.1097 MOP (High: 4.6107 / Low: 4.5010). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0409 MOP (High: 4.6438 / Low: 4.6028).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1097
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0409

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0462 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0462

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4.7176) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.0184), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3008 (-5.99%).

2019 Avg (January) 4.7176
2018 Avg (January) 5.0184

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.7619 4.6772 4.7176
February 4.7401 4.6573 4.6921
March 4.7089 4.6365 4.6736
April 4.6732 4.5985 4.6432
May 4.6438 4.6028 4.6220
June 4.6867 4.6038 4.6525
July 4.6630 4.5808 4.6160
August 4.6353 4.5599 4.5921
September 4.5727 4.5092 4.5459
October 4.6107 4.5010 4.5638
November 4.6092 4.5314 4.5579
December 4.6035 4.5322 4.5649