2011 BBD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

53.1316 KES

YEARLY LOW

40.3255 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

44.3554 KES

2011 BBD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the BBD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 53.1316. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 40.3255.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.8061 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 40.4825 to the December average rate of 43.2183, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 53.1316 was up 29.28% compared to the 2010 peak of 41.0974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 265,658 KES

2010 Average 198,048 KES

Yearly Trough Low 201,628 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 64,030.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

51.4926

39.4816

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.0711, compared to 46.6396 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.5685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.0711

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.6396

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 4.5904 KES (High: 51.4190 / Low: 46.8287). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3075 KES (High: 40.6330 / Low: 40.3255).

September Spread (Volatile) ±4.5904

January Spread (Stable) ±0.3075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 3.8992 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8992

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 50.4917) against the same month in 2010 (average: 40.3310), the exchange rate shifted by +10.1607 (+25.19%).

2011 Avg (October) 50.4917

2010 Avg (October) 40.3310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.6330	40.3255	40.4825
February	41.1894	40.4710	40.7579
March	43.0032	41.3691	42.1467
April	42.1153	41.6369	41.9103
May	43.4048	41.6361	42.6483
June	45.7535	42.9415	44.4811
July	45.5737	44.2934	44.9549
August	47.4715	45.5678	46.4405
September	51.4190	46.8287	48.1397
October	53.1316	49.5977	50.4917
November	49.1621	44.5991	46.5925
December	44.9488	41.7209	43.2183