2018 BBD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.8531 KES

YEARLY LOW

49.9358 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.6449 KES

2018 BBD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BBD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 51.8531. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 22, dropping to 49.9358.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9173 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.4366 to the December average rate of 51.0969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 51.8531 was down 0.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 52.2247, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 259,266 KES

2017 Average 258,495 KES

Yearly Trough Low 249,679 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,586.39 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

51.5499

50.1904

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.6425, compared to 50.6472 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0047 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.6425

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.6472

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.9282 KES (High: 51.5974 / Low: 50.6692). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2564 KES (High: 50.5928 / Low: 50.3364).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9282

September Spread (Stable) ±0.2564

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.7323 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7323

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 51.4366) against the same month in 2017 (average: 51.8591), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4225 (-0.81%).

2018 Avg (January) 51.4366

2017 Avg (January) 51.8591

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	51.8531	51.1500	51.4366
February	50.9525	50.3740	50.7043
March	50.6990	50.3745	50.5790
April	50.5500	49.9358	50.3036
May	50.7755	50.0720	50.3228
June	50.6970	50.3668	50.5089
July	50.5515	49.9800	50.3262
August	50.4750	50.1650	50.3396
September	50.5928	50.3364	50.4236
October	50.9550	50.3300	50.5427
November	51.5974	50.6692	51.1542
December	51.3050	50.6700	51.0969