2016 BBD to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.4735 KES

YEARLY LOW

50.2047 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.7484 KES

2016 BBD to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BBD to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 51.4735. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 50.2047.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2687 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.1747 to the December average rate of 51.0193, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 51.4735 was down 2.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 53.0144, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BBD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 257,367 KES

2015 Average 245,598 KES

Yearly Trough Low 251,024 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,343.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

51.2547

50.2952

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BBD to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.7414, compared to 50.7554 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0140 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.7414

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.7554

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.5445 KES (High: 51.4735 / Low: 50.9290). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0809 KES (High: 50.6583 / Low: 50.5774).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5445

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0809

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2532 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2532

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 51.1747) against the same month in 2015 (average: 45.6808), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4939 (+12.03%).

2016 Avg (January) 51.1747

2015 Avg (January) 45.6808

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	51.4735	50.9290	51.1747
February	51.1970	50.8025	50.9801
March	50.8397	50.5115	50.7270
April	50.7960	50.5305	50.6242
May	50.5479	50.2047	50.3752
June	50.6519	50.4284	50.5672
July	50.7847	50.5245	50.6522
August	50.8682	50.6321	50.6999
September	50.6583	50.5774	50.6231
October	50.7566	50.4759	50.6601
November	50.9378	50.7396	50.8781
December	51.1657	50.8550	51.0193