2012 BDT to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1960 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.9471 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0731 RSD

2012 BDT to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BDT to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 1.1960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 0.9471.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2489 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9774 to the December average rate of 1.0697, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.1960 was up 3.62% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.1543, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,980 RSD

2011 Average 4,939 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 4,735 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,244.66 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.1843

0.9586

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0374, compared to 1.1089 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0716 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0374

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1089

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.1263 RSD (High: 1.1556 / Low: 1.0293). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0214 RSD (High: 1.0361 / Low: 1.0146).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1263

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0214

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0610 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0610

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 1.1569) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.9567), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2003 (+20.93%).

2012 Avg (July) 1.1569

2011 Avg (July) 0.9567

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0034	0.9506	0.9774
February	1.0117	0.9471	0.9836
March	1.0361	1.0146	1.0240
April	1.0398	1.0172	1.0334
May	1.1556	1.0293	1.0813
June	1.1536	1.1049	1.1246
July	1.1960	1.1135	1.1569
August	1.1846	1.1465	1.1655
September	1.1548	1.0754	1.1045
October	1.0951	1.0492	1.0771
November	1.0912	1.0632	1.0798
December	1.0889	1.0591	1.0697