YEARLY HIGH
1.2760 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.2211 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.2470 RSD

2019 BDT to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BDT to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 1.2760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 1.2211.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0549 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2366 to the December average rate of 1.2462, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.2760 was up 1.97% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.2514, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,380 RSD
2018 Average 5,974 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 6,106 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 274.44 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.2662
1.2326
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2415, compared to 1.2525 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0109 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2415
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2525

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.0340 RSD (High: 1.2760 / Low: 1.2420). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0123 RSD (High: 1.2549 / Low: 1.2426).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0340
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0135 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0135

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 1.2553) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.2220), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0333 (+2.72%).

2019 Avg (October) 1.2553
2018 Avg (October) 1.2220

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2479 1.2211 1.2366
February 1.2481 1.2324 1.2402
March 1.2549 1.2251 1.2428
April 1.2603 1.2352 1.2454
May 1.2549 1.2426 1.2489
June 1.2535 1.2243 1.2354
July 1.2586 1.2303 1.2425
August 1.2675 1.2396 1.2533
September 1.2728 1.2557 1.2634
October 1.2760 1.2420 1.2553
November 1.2597 1.2402 1.2540
December 1.2596 1.2348 1.2462