YEARLY HIGH
1.2514 RSD
YEARLY LOW
1.1344 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1944 RSD

2018 BDT to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BDT to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 20, valuing the pair at 1.2514. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 1.1344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1170 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1710 to the December average rate of 1.2397, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2514 was down 16.59% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5003, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BDT based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,257 RSD
2017 Average 6,635 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 5,672 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 585.25 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2513
1.1427
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BDT to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1674, compared to 1.2214 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0540 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1674
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2214

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0573 RSD (High: 1.2110 / Low: 1.1536). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0171 RSD (High: 1.2066 / Low: 1.1895).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0573
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0171

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0192 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0192

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 1.2422) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2163), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0259 (+2.13%).

2018 Avg (November) 1.2422
2017 Avg (November) 1.2163

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1970 1.1467 1.1710
February 1.1668 1.1344 1.1518
March 1.1631 1.1376 1.1533
April 1.1600 1.1379 1.1518
May 1.2110 1.1536 1.1806
June 1.2095 1.1823 1.1961
July 1.2066 1.1895 1.1987
August 1.2307 1.1971 1.2156
September 1.2206 1.1948 1.2104
October 1.2438 1.2050 1.2220
November 1.2514 1.2316 1.2422
December 1.2505 1.2298 1.2397