YEARLY HIGH
3.8504 CNY
YEARLY LOW
3.5924 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7578 CNY

2016 BGN to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 20, valuing the pair at 3.8504. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 3.5924.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2579 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6470 to the December average rate of 3.7310, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.8504 was up 0.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.8282, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,252 CNY
2015 Average 17,801 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 17,962 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,289.70 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.8415
3.6293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7302, compared to 3.7854 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0552 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7302
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7854

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1544 CNY (High: 3.8014 / Low: 3.6470). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0327 CNY (High: 3.8408 / Low: 3.8081).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1544
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0327

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0440 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0440

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 3.8096) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.6059), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2038 (+5.65%).

2016 Avg (August) 3.8096
2015 Avg (August) 3.6059

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.6753 3.5924 3.6470
February 3.8014 3.6470 3.7179
March 3.7505 3.6415 3.7030
April 3.7859 3.7315 3.7553
May 3.8191 3.7326 3.7714
June 3.8268 3.7386 3.7867
July 3.7972 3.7485 3.7785
August 3.8504 3.7747 3.8096
September 3.8408 3.8081 3.8238
October 3.8284 3.7639 3.7947
November 3.8461 3.7231 3.7750
December 3.7946 3.6935 3.7310