YEARLY HIGH
4.0614 CNY
YEARLY LOW
3.8300 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9534 CNY

2019 BGN to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 27, valuing the pair at 4.0614. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 20, dropping to 3.8300.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2314 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9646 to the December average rate of 3.9831, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.0614 was down 1.68% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.1310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,307 CNY
2018 Average 19,956 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 19,150 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,157.15 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.0321
3.8385
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9185, compared to 3.9883 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0698 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9185
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9883

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1526 CNY (High: 4.0614 / Low: 3.9088). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0487 CNY (High: 3.8787 / Low: 3.8300).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1526
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0487

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0528 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 4.0160) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.0386), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0226 (-0.56%).

2019 Avg (August) 4.0160
2018 Avg (August) 4.0386

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0480 3.9173 3.9646
February 3.9486 3.8849 3.9118
March 3.9099 3.8425 3.8786
April 3.8787 3.8300 3.8546
May 3.9550 3.8518 3.9202
June 4.0095 3.9430 3.9813
July 3.9739 3.8962 3.9446
August 4.0614 3.9088 4.0160
September 4.0386 3.9761 4.0061
October 4.0415 3.9834 4.0120
November 4.0198 3.9416 3.9682
December 4.0095 3.9598 3.9831