YEARLY HIGH
4.1310 CNY
YEARLY LOW
3.7929 CNY
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9911 CNY

2018 BGN to CNY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to CNY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 26, valuing the pair at 4.1310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 3.7929.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3381 CNY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0082 to the December average rate of 4.0088, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1310 was up 1.17% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.0831, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,655 CNY
2017 Average 19,510 CNY
Yearly Trough Low 18,965 CNY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,690.40 CNY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1068
3.8293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to CNY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9423, compared to 4.0400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0978 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9423
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.1559 CNY (High: 3.9551 / Low: 3.7993). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0581 CNY (High: 4.0140 / Low: 3.9559).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1559
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0581

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.0836) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.0018), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0818 (+2.04%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.0836
2017 Avg (September) 4.0018

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0428 3.9743 4.0082
February 4.0533 3.9313 3.9929
March 4.0140 3.9559 3.9863
April 3.9766 3.9115 3.9530
May 3.8943 3.7929 3.8524
June 3.9551 3.7993 3.8607
July 4.0804 3.9523 4.0144
August 4.0856 3.9912 4.0386
September 4.1310 4.0411 4.0836
October 4.1000 4.0348 4.0639
November 4.0664 3.9971 4.0309
December 4.0331 3.9689 4.0088