YEARLY HIGH
162.1584 HUF
YEARLY LOW
151.9457 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
157.7067 HUF

2014 BGN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 162.1584. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 151.9457.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.2127 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 154.0941 to the December average rate of 159.1825, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 162.1584 was up 3.37% compared to the 2013 peak of 156.8667, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 810,792 HUF
2013 Average 758,451 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 759,728 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,063.65 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

160.9881
153.4673
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 156.7521, compared to 158.6614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9093 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 156.7521
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 158.6614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 7.4372 HUF (High: 159.3829 / Low: 151.9457). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4743 HUF (High: 161.2372 / Low: 159.7629).

January Spread (Volatile) ±7.4372
August Spread (Stable) ±1.4743

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 2.8637 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8637

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 159.1825) against the same month in 2013 (average: 153.1246), the exchange rate shifted by +6.0579 (+3.96%).

2014 Avg (December) 159.1825
2013 Avg (December) 153.1246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 159.3829 151.9457 154.0941
February 160.1620 156.7666 158.3122
March 160.5286 157.1558 159.1837
April 158.4014 155.9510 157.0056
May 157.5237 154.4655 155.6008
June 158.1603 154.5466 156.3162
July 160.1323 157.2162 158.3197
August 161.2372 159.7629 160.3614
September 161.5286 158.7338 160.0681
October 158.5782 156.1630 157.2045
November 158.6730 155.5602 156.8323
December 162.1584 156.4698 159.1825