YEARLY HIGH
171.9129 HUF
YEARLY LOW
160.0771 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
166.2868 HUF

2019 BGN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 171.9129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 160.0771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.8358 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 163.3866 to the December average rate of 169.1724, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 171.9129 was up 2.00% compared to the 2018 peak of 168.5353, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 859,565 HUF
2018 Average 815,071 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 800,385 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,179.25 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

171.4167
160.8375
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 163.7910, compared to 168.7825 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.9915 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 163.7910
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 168.7825

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 4.2434 HUF (High: 164.3205 / Low: 160.0771). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9961 HUF (High: 163.4908 / Low: 161.4947).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.2434
February Spread (Stable) ±1.9961

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.3627 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3627

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2019: 170.5351) against the same month in 2018 (average: 164.7026), the exchange rate shifted by +5.8325 (+3.54%).

2019 Avg (November) 170.5351
2018 Avg (November) 164.7026

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 165.2193 161.2618 163.3866
February 163.4908 161.4947 162.5480
March 164.3205 160.0771 161.7191
April 165.2527 162.6135 164.1536
May 167.1450 165.1229 166.1011
June 166.3877 163.4984 164.8377
July 167.6408 164.9024 166.3930
August 169.4649 165.3950 167.2155
September 171.5922 168.4866 170.0560
October 171.2653 167.7327 169.3230
November 171.9129 167.7412 170.5351
December 171.1475 168.1743 169.1724