YEARLY HIGH
168.5353 HUF
YEARLY LOW
157.5554 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
162.9939 HUF

2018 BGN to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 2, valuing the pair at 168.5353. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 157.5554.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.9798 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 158.0304 to the December average rate of 164.9576, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 168.5353 was up 4.64% compared to the 2017 peak of 161.0666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 842,676 HUF
2017 Average 790,528 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 787,777 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 54,899.20 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

166.8758
157.2263
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 160.6036, compared to 165.3841 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.7806 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 160.6036
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 165.3841

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 5.8889 HUF (High: 168.3047 / Low: 162.4157). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1896 HUF (High: 158.7450 / Low: 157.5554).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.8889
January Spread (Stable) ±1.1896

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.9102 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9102

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 165.8819) against the same month in 2017 (average: 156.7307), the exchange rate shifted by +9.1512 (+5.84%).

2018 Avg (July) 165.8819
2017 Avg (July) 156.7307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 158.7450 157.5554 158.0304
February 160.7590 158.0566 159.4247
March 160.4297 158.7823 159.6469
April 160.2932 158.3626 159.3965
May 164.2778 160.4074 162.0685
June 168.3047 162.4157 165.0544
July 168.5353 163.8236 165.8819
August 167.3503 163.4694 165.0782
September 167.3150 165.1578 166.0717
October 166.3805 164.5705 165.6128
November 165.7055 164.1126 164.7026
December 165.7118 163.8658 164.9576