2013 BGN to MVR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.8416 MVR

YEARLY LOW

10.0314 MVR

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4392 MVR

2013 BGN to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BGN to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 10.8416. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 8, dropping to 10.0314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8103 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4788 to the December average rate of 10.7647, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 10.8416 was up 3.96% compared to the 2012 peak of 10.4290, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,208 MVR

2012 Average 48,305 MVR

Yearly Trough Low 50,157 MVR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,051.26 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.8235

10.1182

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3248, compared to 10.5536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2288 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3248

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.5536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.4887 MVR (High: 10.7821 / Low: 10.2934). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1390 MVR (High: 10.5258 / Low: 10.3868).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4887

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1390

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3101 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3101

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2013: 10.7267) against the same month in 2012 (average: 10.2245), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5022 (+4.91%).

2013 Avg (October) 10.7267

2012 Avg (October) 10.2245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.6978	10.2967	10.4788
February	10.7821	10.2934	10.5148
March	10.3357	10.0619	10.2048
April	10.3339	10.0793	10.2347
May	10.3631	10.0755	10.1770
June	10.5007	10.1802	10.3388
July	10.4423	10.0314	10.2718
August	10.5258	10.3868	10.4610
September	10.6611	10.3031	10.4920
October	10.8416	10.6332	10.7267
November	10.6951	10.4999	10.6053
December	10.8300	10.6629	10.7647