YEARLY HIGH
9.1269 MVR
YEARLY LOW
8.5823 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.8402 MVR

2019 BGN to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 9.1269. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 8.5823.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5446 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.0386 to the December average rate of 8.7733, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.1269 was down 7.47% compared to the 2018 peak of 9.8635, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,634 MVR
2018 Average 46,621 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 42,911 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,723.16 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

9.0746
8.6418
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.9236, compared to 8.7568 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1668 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.9236
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7568

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was March, with a trading range of 0.2178 MVR (High: 9.0586 / Low: 8.8408). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0776 MVR (High: 8.8612 / Low: 8.7836).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2178
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0776

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1189 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1189

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 9.0386) against the same month in 2018 (average: 9.6085), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5699 (-5.93%).

2019 Avg (January) 9.0386
2018 Avg (January) 9.6085

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.1269 8.9420 9.0386
February 9.0742 8.9016 8.9714
March 9.0586 8.8408 8.9303
April 8.9256 8.7786 8.8563
May 8.8612 8.7836 8.8196
June 9.0106 8.8508 8.9254
July 8.9556 8.7382 8.8563
August 8.8883 8.6763 8.7968
September 8.7687 8.5823 8.6779
October 8.8099 8.5962 8.7170
November 8.8252 8.6702 8.7195
December 8.8613 8.6811 8.7733