YEARLY HIGH
9.0191 MVR
YEARLY LOW
8.1294 MVR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.6395 MVR

2016 BGN to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 9.0191. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 8.1294.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8897 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5038 to the December average rate of 8.2534, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.0191 was down 4.77% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.4706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,096 MVR
2015 Average 43,393 MVR
Yearly Trough Low 40,647 MVR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,448.64 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.9022
8.1944
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.7231, compared to 8.5560 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1671 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.7231
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.5560

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4405 MVR (High: 8.6822 / Low: 8.2417). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1129 MVR (High: 8.7994 / Low: 8.6865).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4405
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1129

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1883 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1883

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 8.8325) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.7158), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1167 (+1.34%).

2016 Avg (May) 8.8325
2015 Avg (May) 8.7158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5568 8.4306 8.5038
February 8.8598 8.4698 8.6853
March 8.8844 8.5061 8.6905
April 8.9383 8.7504 8.8433
May 9.0191 8.6709 8.8325
June 8.9072 8.5283 8.7831
July 8.6953 8.5240 8.5948
August 8.8128 8.5621 8.7001
September 8.7994 8.6865 8.7446
October 8.7613 8.4873 8.6121
November 8.6822 8.2417 8.4310
December 8.3836 8.1294 8.2534