YEARLY HIGH
12748.1222 STD
YEARLY LOW
12083.1987 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
12468.0655 STD

2018 BGN to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 12748.1222. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 12083.1987.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 664.9235 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12595.5433 to the December average rate of 12243.7005, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 12748.1222 was up 0.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 12655.6229, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 63,740,611 STD
2017 Average 62,645,223 STD
Yearly Trough Low 60,415,993 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,324,617.53 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

12631.9982
12194.5395
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12541.2100, compared to 12394.9211 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 146.2888 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12541.2100
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12394.9211

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 396.6841 STD (High: 12606.5837 / Low: 12209.8997). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 98.4886 STD (High: 12591.4076 / Low: 12492.9190).

August Spread (Volatile) ±396.6841
July Spread (Stable) ±98.4886

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 160.3664 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -160.3664

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 12595.5433) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12541.4949), the exchange rate shifted by +54.0484 (+0.43%).

2018 Avg (January) 12595.5433
2017 Avg (January) 12541.4949

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12748.1222 12489.3641 12595.5433
February 12602.2798 12466.3304 12535.1201
March 12600.5695 12483.0837 12539.6654
April 12579.8199 12412.1332 12511.4696
May 12579.7841 12463.1283 12524.8260
June 12593.3071 12470.7115 12540.6352
July 12591.4076 12492.9190 12546.2078
August 12606.5837 12209.8997 12417.7910
September 12668.4919 12437.2760 12539.4722
October 12518.7269 12178.4868 12391.3609
November 12330.8436 12083.1987 12230.9944
December 12330.9880 12165.2764 12243.7005