YEARLY HIGH
4.6314 TJS
YEARLY LOW
3.8837 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4314 TJS

2016 BGN to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 4.6314. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 3.8837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7477 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1017 to the December average rate of 4.2429, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.6314 was up 18.80% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.8987, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,157 TJS
2015 Average 17,448 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 19,419 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,738.49 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.6081
4.0556
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4458, compared to 4.4170 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0288 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4458
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4170

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.4594 TJS (High: 4.3431 / Low: 3.8837). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0718 TJS (High: 4.4913 / Low: 4.4195).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4594
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0718

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1030 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 4.5455) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.5830), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9625 (+26.86%).

2016 Avg (May) 4.5455
2015 Avg (May) 3.5830

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3431 3.8837 4.1017
February 4.5322 4.3617 4.4608
March 4.5737 4.3739 4.4809
April 4.6005 4.5191 4.5621
May 4.6314 4.4735 4.5455
June 4.5822 4.4384 4.5236
July 4.4913 4.4195 4.4533
August 4.5566 4.4594 4.5075
September 4.5490 4.4767 4.5114
October 4.5143 4.3794 4.4409
November 4.4789 4.2544 4.3459
December 4.3207 4.1768 4.2429