YEARLY HIGH
5.6688 TJS
YEARLY LOW
5.3139 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5211 TJS

2018 BGN to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 20, valuing the pair at 5.6688. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 5.3139.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3549 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5014 to the December average rate of 5.4805, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.6688 was up 4.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4448, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,344 TJS
2017 Average 24,869 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 26,570 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,774.56 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.6329
5.4038
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5068, compared to 5.5353 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0284 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5068
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5353

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2222 TJS (High: 5.6061 / Low: 5.3839). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0787 TJS (High: 5.5207 / Low: 5.4420).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2222
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0787

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1296 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 5.6138) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.3706), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2432 (+4.53%).

2018 Avg (September) 5.6138
2017 Avg (September) 5.3706

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6061 5.3839 5.5014
February 5.6421 5.4981 5.5716
March 5.6149 5.5166 5.5612
April 5.6091 5.4948 5.5567
May 5.5047 5.3139 5.4271
June 5.4820 5.3586 5.4229
July 5.6473 5.4519 5.5588
August 5.6481 5.4653 5.5542
September 5.6688 5.5730 5.6138
October 5.5829 5.4638 5.5322
November 5.5178 5.4077 5.4721
December 5.5207 5.4420 5.4805