YEARLY HIGH
5.5719 TJS
YEARLY LOW
5.3404 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4520 TJS

2019 BGN to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 5.5719. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 5.3404.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2316 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5051 to the December average rate of 5.5026, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 5.5719 was down 1.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.6688, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,860 TJS
2018 Average 27,603 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 26,702 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,157.92 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.5159
5.3860
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4476, compared to 5.4565 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0088 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4476
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4565

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1715 TJS (High: 5.5144 / Low: 5.3429). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0510 TJS (High: 5.4195 / Low: 5.3685).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1715
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0510

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0348 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0348

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 5.5051) against the same month in 2018 (average: 5.5014), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0037 (+0.07%).

2019 Avg (January) 5.5051
2018 Avg (January) 5.5014

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5719 5.4543 5.5051
February 5.5223 5.4330 5.4750
March 5.5109 5.3996 5.4491
April 5.4584 5.3749 5.4149
May 5.4195 5.3685 5.3968
June 5.4940 5.3751 5.4447
July 5.4711 5.3404 5.4099
August 5.5144 5.3429 5.4168
September 5.4879 5.4067 5.4543
October 5.5308 5.3927 5.4784
November 5.5348 5.4547 5.4768
December 5.5554 5.4480 5.5026