YEARLY HIGH
10.1004 UAH
YEARLY LOW
5.7150 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0997 UAH

2014 BGN to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BGN to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 10.1004. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 5.7150.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3854 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8100 to the December average rate of 9.8463, the exchange rate registered a net change of 69.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.1004 was up 73.05% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.8367, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,502 UAH
2013 Average 27,671 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 28,575 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,926.92 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

10.2499
5.4063
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3457, compared to 8.8536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5079 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3457
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.8536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 1.6647 UAH (High: 9.9568 / Low: 8.2922). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1473 UAH (High: 8.4482 / Low: 8.3009).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.6647
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1473

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3328 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3328

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 9.8463) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.7671), the exchange rate shifted by +4.0791 (+70.73%).

2014 Avg (December) 9.8463
2013 Avg (December) 5.7671

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.9348 5.7150 5.8100
February 7.0283 5.8863 6.2029
March 7.8708 6.5253 7.0844
April 9.1302 7.9279 8.4955
May 8.3738 8.1580 8.2607
June 8.2889 8.0828 8.2209
July 8.3540 8.0314 8.1568
August 9.2906 8.3393 8.8472
September 8.9407 8.3431 8.5144
October 8.4482 8.3009 8.3849
November 9.9568 8.2922 9.3720
December 10.1004 9.5743 9.8463