YEARLY HIGH
16.6256 UAH
YEARLY LOW
13.1577 UAH
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.7874 UAH

2019 BGN to UAH Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to UAH exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 16.6256. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 13.1577.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.4679 UAH. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.2824 to the December average rate of 13.3834, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 16.6256 was down 9.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 18.3977, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 83,128 UAH
2018 Average 82,092 UAH
Yearly Trough Low 65,789 UAH
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,339.59 UAH purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

16.5723
13.0935
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to UAH Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.5460, compared to 14.0287 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5173 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.5460
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.0287

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 0.9712 UAH (High: 15.1759 / Low: 14.2047). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4322 UAH (High: 13.5899 / Low: 13.1577).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.9712
December Spread (Stable) ±0.4322

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5218 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5218

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 16.2824) against the same month in 2018 (average: 17.7689), the exchange rate shifted by -1.4865 (-8.37%).

2019 Avg (January) 16.2824
2018 Avg (January) 17.7689

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.6256 16.0068 16.2824
February 16.2206 15.5884 15.7605
March 15.8566 15.0848 15.5216
April 15.6170 15.0464 15.3604
May 15.3879 14.9394 15.0894
June 15.6173 15.0701 15.2619
July 15.1759 14.2047 14.7404
August 14.7223 14.1327 14.3602
September 14.2620 13.4606 13.9105
October 14.3151 13.6521 14.0326
November 14.1719 13.4906 13.7450
December 13.5899 13.1577 13.3834