YEARLY HIGH
2.7830 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.4536 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6636 MDL

2012 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 2.7830. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 2.4536.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3294 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7295 to the December average rate of 2.4961, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.7830 was down 10.93% compared to the 2011 peak of 3.1246, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,915 MDL
2011 Average 14,196 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 12,268 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,646.81 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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2.7529
2.4728
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7025, compared to 2.6247 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0778 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7025
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6247

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.1053 MDL (High: 2.7830 / Low: 2.6777). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0309 MDL (High: 2.5873 / Low: 2.5564).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1053
November Spread (Stable) Âą0.0309

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0778 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0778

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 2.7018) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.8205), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1187 (-4.21%).

2012 Avg (June) 2.7018
2011 Avg (June) 2.8205

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Month High Low Average
January 2.7652 2.7027 2.7295
February 2.7667 2.6973 2.7215
March 2.7336 2.6963 2.7175
April 2.7060 2.6451 2.6759
May 2.7014 2.6455 2.6686
June 2.7830 2.6777 2.7018
July 2.7459 2.6946 2.7230
August 2.7499 2.6854 2.7100
September 2.6875 2.6389 2.6548
October 2.6397 2.5722 2.5905
November 2.5873 2.5564 2.5739
December 2.5538 2.4536 2.4961