YEARLY HIGH
1.5489 MDL
YEARLY LOW
1.2485 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3501 MDL

2016 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1.5489. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 1.2485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3004 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4993 to the December average rate of 1.2704, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.5489 was down 28.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.1796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,744 MDL
2015 Average 10,172 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 6,242 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,501.93 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.5222
1.2475
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3919, compared to 1.3083 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0835 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3919
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3083

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1750 MDL (High: 1.4437 / Low: 1.2686). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0324 MDL (High: 1.3437 / Low: 1.3113).

February Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1750
August Spread (Stable) Âą0.0324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1405 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.4993) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.9375), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4382 (-22.62%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.4993
2015 Avg (January) 1.9375

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Month High Low Average
January 1.5489 1.4503 1.4993
February 1.4437 1.2686 1.3588
March 1.3578 1.2721 1.3265
April 1.4013 1.3207 1.3649
May 1.4383 1.3809 1.4023
June 1.4408 1.2985 1.3993
July 1.3569 1.3114 1.3274
August 1.3437 1.3113 1.3288
September 1.3226 1.2855 1.3076
October 1.3230 1.2849 1.3080
November 1.3250 1.2836 1.3078
December 1.3030 1.2485 1.2704