YEARLY HIGH
1.3020 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.8925 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1215 MDL

2017 ARS to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 1.3020. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.8925.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4095 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2627 to the December average rate of 0.9699, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.3020 was down 15.94% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.5489, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,510 MDL
2016 Average 6,751 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 4,462 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,047.71 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

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1.3118
0.9388
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2307, compared to 1.0123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2307
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.1275 MDL (High: 1.2517 / Low: 1.1242). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0260 MDL (High: 1.2768 / Low: 1.2507).

May Spread (Volatile) Âą0.1275
January Spread (Stable) Âą0.0260

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0780 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0780

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2017: 1.2807) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.3588), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0781 (-5.75%).

2017 Avg (February) 1.2807
2016 Avg (February) 1.3588

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Month High Low Average
January 1.2768 1.2507 1.2627
February 1.3020 1.2587 1.2807
March 1.2929 1.2451 1.2683
April 1.2728 1.2401 1.2596
May 1.2517 1.1242 1.1816
June 1.1460 1.0868 1.1311
July 1.0974 1.0144 1.0552
August 1.0477 1.0064 1.0257
September 1.0368 1.0012 1.0253
October 1.0141 0.9763 0.9978
November 1.0112 0.9836 0.9996
December 1.0019 0.8925 0.9699