YEARLY HIGH
116.6210 CDF
YEARLY LOW
114.8055 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
115.6083 CDF

2014 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 116.6210. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 114.8055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8155 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 115.6472 to the December average rate of 115.8620, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 116.6210 was down 0.22% compared to the 2013 peak of 116.8820, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 583,105 CDF
2013 Average 577,392 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 574,028 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,077.49 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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115.9655
115.3746
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 115.5152, compared to 115.7014 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1862 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 115.5152
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 115.7014

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 1.5634 CDF (High: 116.3991 / Low: 114.8357). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5667 CDF (High: 115.6758 / Low: 115.1091).

June Spread (Volatile) Âą1.5634
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.5667

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1935 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 115.8620) against the same month in 2013 (average: 115.5838), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2782 (+0.24%).

2014 Avg (December) 115.8620
2013 Avg (December) 115.5838

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Month High Low Average
January 116.2113 115.1469 115.6472
February 115.7651 114.8055 115.4537
March 115.7525 115.0716 115.4239
April 115.6758 115.1091 115.4861
May 115.6986 115.0262 115.4785
June 116.3991 114.8357 115.6018
July 115.9052 115.1730 115.5834
August 115.8230 115.1614 115.5864
September 115.8302 114.9995 115.5797
October 115.9851 115.2286 115.6807
November 116.3238 115.5997 115.9163
December 116.6210 115.3799 115.8620