YEARLY HIGH
117.7294 CDF
YEARLY LOW
114.8873 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
116.0043 CDF

2015 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 117.7294. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 28, dropping to 114.8873.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.8420 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 115.8415 to the December average rate of 116.2965, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 117.7294 was up 0.95% compared to the 2014 peak of 116.6210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 588,647 CDF
2014 Average 578,046 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 574,437 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,210.13 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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116.3748
115.6405
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 115.8995, compared to 116.1090 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 115.8995
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 116.1090

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 2.1918 CDF (High: 117.7294 / Low: 115.5375). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4677 CDF (High: 116.3362 / Low: 115.8686).

December Spread (Volatile) Âą2.1918
September Spread (Stable) Âą0.4677

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6119 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6119

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 116.2965) against the same month in 2014 (average: 115.8620), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4345 (+0.37%).

2015 Avg (December) 116.2965
2014 Avg (December) 115.8620

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Month High Low Average
January 116.5390 115.0531 115.8415
February 116.4541 114.8873 115.9046
March 116.3429 115.0385 115.7025
April 116.7784 115.5668 116.3136
May 116.4002 115.0094 115.7017
June 116.7346 115.3662 115.9334
July 116.8286 115.3964 116.0576
August 116.8520 115.3176 115.9919
September 116.3362 115.8686 116.1392
October 116.6216 115.4621 116.1212
November 116.4531 115.4160 116.0478
December 117.7294 115.5375 116.2965