YEARLY HIGH
205.2473 CDF
YEARLY LOW
193.6314 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
200.6136 CDF

2018 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 205.2473. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 193.6314.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.6159 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 198.8502 to the December average rate of 201.7314, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 205.2473 was down 0.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 205.2803, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,026,237 CDF
2017 Average 908,486 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 968,157 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 58,079.63 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

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202.9267
198.4796
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 199.7088, compared to 201.5184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.8097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 199.7088
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 201.5184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 11.6159 CDF (High: 205.2473 / Low: 193.6314). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6001 CDF (High: 200.1407 / Low: 199.5407).

July Spread (Volatile) Âą11.6159
April Spread (Stable) Âą0.6001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.8418 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8418

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 200.4731) against the same month in 2017 (average: 193.6092), the exchange rate shifted by +6.8639 (+3.55%).

2018 Avg (July) 200.4731
2017 Avg (July) 193.6092

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Month High Low Average
January 200.4854 194.4509 198.8502
February 201.8683 198.5313 199.8833
March 201.4060 199.0732 200.2656
April 200.1407 199.5407 199.7718
May 200.0367 199.2059 199.7266
June 200.0766 199.3684 199.7552
July 205.2473 193.6314 200.4731
August 203.0591 199.7956 201.2617
September 204.2061 201.0263 202.5561
October 203.6425 199.2152 201.7144
November 203.8912 199.5307 201.3739
December 203.7638 198.8618 201.7314