YEARLY HIGH
4.0711 BRL
YEARLY LOW
3.5250 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7209 BRL

2023 BND to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BND to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 4.0711. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 3.5250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5461 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9096 to the December average rate of 3.6756, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.0711 was down 3.34% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.2118, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,356 BRL
2022 Average 18,730 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 17,625 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,730.53 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.9409
3.5645
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7969, compared to 3.6449 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7969
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6449

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.2283 BRL (High: 4.0711 / Low: 3.8428). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0810 BRL (High: 3.7124 / Low: 3.6314).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2283
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0810

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1196 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1196

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 3.9096) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.0897), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1801 (-4.40%).

2023 Avg (January) 3.9096
2022 Avg (January) 4.0897

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0711 3.8428 3.9096
February 4.0038 3.8281 3.8890
March 3.9985 3.8000 3.8898
April 3.8286 3.6956 3.7702
May 3.7818 3.6536 3.7169
June 3.7119 3.5250 3.6058
July 3.6431 3.5271 3.5959
August 3.6738 3.5748 3.6342
September 3.6909 3.5598 3.6304
October 3.7835 3.6352 3.6988
November 3.6837 3.5764 3.6347
December 3.7124 3.6314 3.6756