YEARLY HIGH
4.6497 BRL
YEARLY LOW
4.0508 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2786 BRL

2025 BND to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the BND to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 4, valuing the pair at 4.6497. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 4.0508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5989 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.4330 to the December average rate of 4.2381, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.40% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 4.6497 was down 6.32% compared to the 2024 peak of 4.9635, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BND based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,249 BRL
2024 Average 20,190 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 20,254 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,994.47 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

4.4660
4.0693
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BND to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3506, compared to 4.2067 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1439 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3506
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2067

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 0.4102 BRL (High: 4.6497 / Low: 4.2396). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0936 BRL (High: 4.1445 / Low: 4.0508).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4102
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0936

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1522 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1522

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2025: 4.3269) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3.7180), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6089 (+16.38%).

2025 Avg (March) 4.3269
2024 Avg (March) 3.7180

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6225 4.3065 4.4330
February 4.3674 4.2365 4.2808
March 4.6497 4.2396 4.3269
April 4.4686 4.2148 4.3729
May 4.4506 4.2990 4.3733
June 4.4356 4.2515 4.3169
July 4.3634 4.2471 4.3209
August 4.3347 4.1982 4.2392
September 4.2459 4.1142 4.1752
October 4.2691 4.1060 4.1642
November 4.1445 4.0508 4.1024
December 4.3303 4.1001 4.2381