2014 BOB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

402.5513 UGX

YEARLY LOW

355.0436 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

375.8250 UGX

2014 BOB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the BOB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 402.5513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 355.0436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 47.5077 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 361.7950 to the December average rate of 400.2455, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 402.5513 was up 3.43% compared to the 2013 peak of 389.2021, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,012,757 UGX

2013 Average 1,861,783 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,775,218 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 237,538.54 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

404.5394

353.0130

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 364.9909, compared to 386.6590 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 21.6681 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 364.9909

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 386.6590

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 12.8402 UGX (High: 401.8690 / Low: 389.0288). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3213 UGX (High: 402.5513 / Low: 398.2301).

November Spread (Volatile) ±12.8402

December Spread (Stable) ±4.3213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.4882 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.4882

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 400.2455) against the same month in 2013 (average: 363.5205), the exchange rate shifted by +36.7250 (+10.10%).

2014 Avg (December) 400.2455

2013 Avg (December) 363.5205

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	365.8585	357.3734	361.7950
February	365.6596	355.0436	357.3069
March	371.3949	363.4627	366.3977
April	371.0162	363.0073	365.5156
May	368.9195	364.0733	366.0727
June	377.4763	368.5909	372.8579
July	385.7473	374.9760	380.7170
August	379.4149	374.7575	377.6769
September	384.0296	373.8971	378.6929
October	392.1917	382.1013	387.1167
November	401.8690	389.0288	395.5051
December	402.5513	398.2301	400.2455