YEARLY HIGH
566.5421 UGX
YEARLY LOW
522.5936 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
539.2811 UGX

2018 BOB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BOB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 566.5421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 522.5936.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.9484 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 526.5989 to the December average rate of 537.3786, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 566.5421 was up 7.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 529.3840, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,832,710 UGX
2017 Average 2,606,356 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,612,968 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 219,742.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

558.1589
523.7298
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 535.2988, compared to 543.2634 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.9647 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 535.2988
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 543.2634

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 30.2777 UGX (High: 564.8045 / Low: 534.5268). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5163 UGX (High: 537.3542 / Low: 533.8378).

July Spread (Volatile) ±30.2777
April Spread (Stable) ±3.5163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 11.1679 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.1679

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 555.2898) against the same month in 2017 (average: 517.2512), the exchange rate shifted by +38.0385 (+7.35%).

2018 Avg (June) 555.2898
2017 Avg (June) 517.2512

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 531.2491 522.5936 526.5989
February 529.7604 524.9775 526.6255
March 534.0673 526.1248 528.9366
April 537.3542 533.8378 535.0260
May 545.5861 537.1797 539.3160
June 566.5421 544.9059 555.2898
July 564.8045 534.5268 544.1218
August 546.1073 533.2782 540.1008
September 553.9196 541.3025 549.8655
October 553.3982 543.6637 546.8855
November 544.6842 538.3581 541.2284
December 541.0273 534.4218 537.3786