2016 BOB to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

525.9849 UGX

YEARLY LOW

478.5245 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

495.3910 UGX

2016 BOB to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BOB to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 525.9849. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 478.5245.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 47.4604 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 498.7615 to the December average rate of 520.2418, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 525.9849 was down 1.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 534.7306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BOB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,629,924 UGX

2015 Average 2,345,039 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 2,392,622 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 237,301.98 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

523.7780

481.3437

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BOB to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 491.1834, compared to 499.5985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.4151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 491.1834

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 499.5985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 24.0599 UGX (High: 525.6647 / Low: 501.6048). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.4041 UGX (High: 489.7186 / Low: 486.3145).

November Spread (Volatile) ±24.0599

August Spread (Stable) ±3.4041

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 5.6707 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.6707

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 520.2418) against the same month in 2015 (average: 486.8580), the exchange rate shifted by +33.3838 (+6.86%).

2016 Avg (December) 520.2418

2015 Avg (December) 486.8580

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	503.6790	488.4492	498.7615
February	503.6069	488.4324	497.2733
March	494.2419	486.9614	491.6026
April	494.1511	478.5245	485.9994
May	491.3697	479.4781	484.8799
June	495.3498	485.6124	488.5837
July	494.0267	487.7816	490.2376
August	489.7186	486.3145	487.4434
September	490.8581	486.9177	488.8150
October	500.6533	489.9496	496.1090
November	525.6647	501.6048	514.7444
December	525.9849	513.6445	520.2418