2012 BWP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.6997 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.6509 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0703 KES

2012 BWP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BWP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 11.6997. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 10.6509.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0488 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.5522 to the December average rate of 10.9508, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 11.6997 was down 19.22% compared to the 2011 peak of 14.4840, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,498 KES

2011 Average 64,768 KES

Yearly Trough Low 53,254 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,244.04 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.6313

10.6818

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BWP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2441, compared to 10.8964 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3477 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2441

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.8964

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.4406 KES (High: 11.2704 / Low: 10.8298). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1772 KES (High: 10.8464 / Low: 10.6691).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4406

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1772

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2426 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2426

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 11.5522) against the same month in 2011 (average: 12.1913), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6392 (-5.24%).

2012 Avg (January) 11.5522

2011 Avg (January) 12.1913

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.6997	11.3437	11.5522
February	11.6691	11.2924	11.4727
March	11.5650	11.2365	11.4203
April	11.3586	11.0116	11.1777
May	11.2704	10.8298	11.0103
June	10.9815	10.6554	10.8316
July	11.0373	10.7044	10.8851
August	11.0047	10.7752	10.8942
September	11.2209	10.8443	11.0442
October	11.0654	10.6509	10.8434
November	10.8464	10.6691	10.7609
December	11.0664	10.7686	10.9508