YEARLY HIGH
9.8502 KES
YEARLY LOW
8.7554 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.3255 KES

2016 BWP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BWP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 16, valuing the pair at 9.8502. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 8.7554.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0948 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.8867 to the December average rate of 9.5142, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.06% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 9.8502 was down 3.88% compared to the 2015 peak of 10.2479, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 49,251 KES
2015 Average 48,485 KES
Yearly Trough Low 43,777 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,473.89 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.7427
8.8089
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BWP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1293, compared to 9.5218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1293
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.5218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.5684 KES (High: 9.5362 / Low: 8.9678). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2688 KES (High: 9.6599 / Low: 9.3912).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5684
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2688

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2124 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 9.6649) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.0650), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4001 (-3.98%).

2016 Avg (August) 9.6649
2015 Avg (August) 10.0650

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.0904 8.7554 8.8867
February 9.2027 8.9223 9.0414
March 9.3397 8.8779 9.1029
April 9.5388 9.1845 9.3749
May 9.5362 8.9678 9.1625
June 9.4401 8.9979 9.2073
July 9.5245 9.2486 9.3963
August 9.8502 9.3914 9.6649
September 9.7344 9.3039 9.5240
October 9.6871 9.3773 9.5284
November 9.7576 9.2910 9.5027
December 9.6599 9.3912 9.5142