YEARLY HIGH
10.7623 KES
YEARLY LOW
9.1272 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.9564 KES

2018 BWP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BWP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 10.7623. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 9.1272.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6351 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.5581 to the December average rate of 9.5558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.7623 was up 2.39% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.5115, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BWP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 53,811 KES
2017 Average 49,993 KES
Yearly Trough Low 45,636 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,175.45 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.7373
9.2236
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BWP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3642, compared to 9.5486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8156 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3642
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.5486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.5344 KES (High: 9.8021 / Low: 9.2677). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1361 KES (High: 10.6643 / Low: 10.5282).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5344
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1361

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2690 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2690

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 10.6111) against the same month in 2017 (average: 9.9129), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6982 (+7.04%).

2018 Avg (February) 10.6111
2017 Avg (February) 9.9129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.7284 10.4277 10.5581
February 10.7623 10.4024 10.6111
March 10.6643 10.5282 10.5748
April 10.5657 10.2031 10.4135
May 10.2457 10.0033 10.1445
June 10.1367 9.6724 9.8828
July 9.8594 9.6718 9.7678
August 9.8021 9.2677 9.5251
September 9.5614 9.1272 9.3498
October 9.5338 9.3281 9.4737
November 9.7572 9.4525 9.6194
December 9.8040 9.4241 9.5558