2011 CDF to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.1963 IDR

YEARLY LOW

9.2167 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.6296 IDR

2011 CDF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the CDF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 10.1963. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 27, dropping to 9.2167.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9796 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.9753 to the December average rate of 10.0250, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 10.1963 was down 3.53% compared to the 2010 peak of 10.5693, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,981 IDR

2010 Average 50,734 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 46,084 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,897.84 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

10.0921

9.2869

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.6012, compared to 9.6580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0568 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.6012

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.7082 IDR (High: 9.9924 / Low: 9.2842). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1358 IDR (High: 9.4571 / Low: 9.3214).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.7082

May Spread (Stable) ±0.1358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2396 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2396

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 10.0250) against the same month in 2010 (average: 10.0283), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0032 (-0.03%).

2011 Avg (December) 10.0250

2010 Avg (December) 10.0283

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.1386	9.8233	9.9753
February	9.9306	9.6229	9.7357
March	9.6659	9.5217	9.5920
April	9.5834	9.4035	9.4897
May	9.4571	9.3214	9.3792
June	9.5297	9.3197	9.4351
July	9.4458	9.2167	9.3540
August	9.4683	9.2909	9.3768
September	9.9924	9.2842	9.5980
October	9.9000	9.5590	9.6917
November	10.1428	9.7353	9.9022
December	10.1963	9.9034	10.0250