2016 CDF to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.0845 IDR

YEARLY LOW

11.2538 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.8079 IDR

2016 CDF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 15.0845. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 11.2538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8307 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.9645 to the December average rate of 11.5171, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 15.0845 was down 4.84% compared to the 2015 peak of 15.8524, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,422 IDR

2015 Average 72,290 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 56,269 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,153.30 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

15.3093

11.1724

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.4357, compared to 13.1801 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2556 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.4357

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.1801

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 2.7831 IDR (High: 14.5891 / Low: 11.8060). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1435 IDR (High: 14.2472 / Low: 14.1037).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.7831

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1435

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.9430 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9430

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 14.9645) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.5747), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3898 (+10.24%).

2016 Avg (January) 14.9645

2015 Avg (January) 13.5747

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.0845	14.8253	14.9645
February	14.7936	14.4405	14.5622
March	14.4388	14.0180	14.2038
April	14.2472	14.1037	14.1922
May	14.7171	14.1319	14.4716
June	14.7250	13.7712	14.2198
July	13.9344	13.4050	13.7834
August	13.5627	13.3208	13.4706
September	13.5662	13.2283	13.4414
October	13.6120	13.2859	13.4079
November	14.5891	11.8060	13.4602
December	11.9438	11.2538	11.5171