YEARLY HIGH
9.4630 IDR
YEARLY LOW
8.2889 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.7459 IDR

2018 CDF to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 24, valuing the pair at 9.4630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 8.2889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1742 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3759 to the December average rate of 8.9306, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.4630 was down 18.70% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.6397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,315 IDR
2017 Average 46,248 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 41,444 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,870.80 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

9.4252
8.2805
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5364, compared to 8.9554 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4189 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5364
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.9554

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.5367 IDR (High: 9.4630 / Low: 8.9264). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0814 IDR (High: 8.5946 / Low: 8.5132).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.5367
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0814

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2914 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2914

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 9.3298) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.6245), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7054 (+8.18%).

2018 Avg (October) 9.3298
2017 Avg (October) 8.6245

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.6785 8.2889 8.3759
February 8.5192 8.3358 8.4327
March 8.5733 8.4530 8.5093
April 8.5946 8.5132 8.5472
May 8.7785 8.6148 8.6930
June 8.8097 8.5785 8.6605
July 9.1253 8.6230 8.8114
August 8.8781 8.7358 8.8124
September 8.8765 8.7542 8.8097
October 9.4630 8.9264 9.3298
November 9.3008 8.8413 9.0384
December 9.0433 8.7738 8.9306