YEARLY HIGH
27.9544 IRR
YEARLY LOW
22.1766 IRR
YEARLY AVERAGE
25.1118 IRR

2018 CDF to IRR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to IRR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 27.9544. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 22.1766.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.7778 IRR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 22.5104 to the December average rate of 25.9945, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 27.9544 was up 3.42% compared to the 2017 peak of 27.0310, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 139,772 IRR
2017 Average 114,033 IRR
Yearly Trough Low 110,883 IRR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,889.21 IRR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

27.1316
22.0903
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to IRR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 23.8839, compared to 26.3397 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.4558 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 23.8839
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.3397

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 2.9373 IRR (High: 26.1137 / Low: 23.1764). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2318 IRR (High: 23.4082 / Low: 23.1764).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.9373
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2318

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2770 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2770

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 26.7115) against the same month in 2017 (average: 20.9871), the exchange rate shifted by +5.7243 (+27.28%).

2018 Avg (July) 26.7115
2017 Avg (July) 20.9871

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 23.0267 22.1766 22.5104
February 23.1433 22.8257 23.0116
March 23.3719 22.9757 23.1879
April 23.4082 23.1764 23.2290
May 26.1137 23.1764 25.1309
June 26.3919 26.0985 26.2332
July 27.9544 26.3075 26.7115
August 27.1474 26.2774 26.6356
September 26.5637 26.2499 26.3951
October 26.4212 25.8684 26.1181
November 26.3962 25.8417 26.1833
December 26.3962 25.6458 25.9945